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Polymarket

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 06:27 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 57 days)

Most likely: Yordan Alvarez

98%▲ 1.8 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
98%89%80%

All outcomes (8)

OutcomeChance24h
Yordan Alvarez
98%▲ 1.8 pts
Junior Caminero
3%▼ 0.4 pts
Cam Schlittler
<1%▼ 0.1 pts
Bobby Witt Jr.
<1%—
Corey Seager
<1%—
Aaron Judge
<1%—
Gunnar Henderson
<1%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
<1%—

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “MLB: 2026 AL MVP ”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price Yordan Alvarez as the most likely outcome at 98% (as of 5 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.