Georgia governor race 2026 odds: Jackson vs Bottoms
Prediction markets make Rick Jackson (R) the favourite in the Georgia governor's race, at 49% on Polymarket and 52% on Kalshi. Republicans currently hold it, and markets give about a 50% chance it changes hands. That makes it one of the closest races on the map.
Odds updated 9 min ago · election day November 3
RRick Jackson
50%
Polymarket 49% · Kalshi 52%
DKeisha Lance Bottoms
50%
Polymarket 52% · Kalshi 48%
Democrats 50%Republicans 50%
Race facts
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Republicans
- Chance it flips
- 50%
- Platforms disagree by
- 4 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- RRick Jackson49%52%50%
- DKeisha Lance Bottoms52%48%50%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Rick Jackson (Republican), at 50% on average across Polymarket (49%) and Kalshi (52%).
Which party holds the governorship now?
Republicans. Markets give about a 50% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 17 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.